Indian pharma companies forecast 30% growth in 2017 at CPhI India


400 surveyed companies identify domestic sales as chief driver behind unexpected rise in revenues

Indian pharma companies forecast 30% growth in 2017 at CPhI India

CPhI and P-MEC India, part of India Pharma Week – organised by UBM EMEA and UBM India – closed yesterday as in-depth research from more than 400 Indian pharma companies forecast rapid growth for the Indian pharma economy in 2017.

Chief amongst the growth drivers reported are strong domestic sales in the next 2-3 years, generic APIs exports as well as finished formulation for developed markets.

The findings show that industry confidence is now extremely high, with domestic manufacturers bullish about near term revenue prospects, averaging a predicted 30.5% growth in 2017.

An analysis by sector shows that, of the 400 companies, 60% believed that finished formulations would expand rapidly, while 42% see APIs as the largest growth area. Highlighting the economy’s diversity and willingness to incorporate new product classes, 25% of respondents regard biosimilars and biologics as a burgeoning sector in 2017, particularly following the updated CDSCO biosimilars guidelines.

Indian pharma has benefited from an exponential growth rate in the past decade, yet this has cooled in recent years whilst the industry invested in new infrastructure and improving regulatory standards. However, this new data points to a renewed confidence that will drive another period of strong growth in Indian pharma.

These findings are announced as more than 40,000 attendees visit Mumbai for the special 10-year anniversary of CPhI and P-MEC India, including India Pharma week. During the past 7 days, the event helped to stimulate this predicted growth as it brought together buyers from Germany, China, Italy, Japan and the United States, along with Indian pharma companies for commercial discussions, knowledge sharing and analysis.

One of the underlying reasons behind the renewed confidence in the market is the improving quality standards, as 67% of respondents stated they expected to meet the approaching CDSCO certification deadline on 1 January 2018.

In the past 10 years, the industry has largely expanded its dollar value through international exports. This is set to continue as a major growth factor in the near future, with more USFDA approvals in the last year (201 ANDA up from 109) paving the way for increased generics sales in the United States.

However, not only are exports increasing, but also, the gentrification of the Indian healthcare economy is leading to an unprecedented surge in demand for domestic pharma. An impressive 70% of respondents anticipate domestic sales will be the main driver of growth for Indian pharma in the next 3-5 years.

One of the companies surveyed, commented: “India is seeing great opportunities in a variety of areas, we are seeing strong growth in exports to developed markets, but also strong development domestically. Our pharma companies are on par with US and European standards, so we foresee more high value Indian export to developed countries at a lower rate. Domestically, more and more Indian people now have health insurance, and consumer spending is increasing as areas start urbanising rapidly, so we are also experience high levels of demand across the country, helping drive our domestic sales.”

Rutger Oudejans, Brand Director Pharma at UBM EMEA, said: “India’s domestic market is showing extreme confidence amongst its domestic manufacturing base. The government is actively supporting the pharma industry through several initiatives such as dedicated pharma parks, boosting the biosimilars and biologics sector, and reducing manufacturing costs." "Our role at UBM is to facilitate these growth drivers, cultivate innovation and promote networking within the pharma industry. A key element for us is to help pharma executives make better-informed decisions and so create bigger business opportunities. The future looks very promising for Indian manufacturing as we are seeing greater confidence along the entire supply chain, particularly across the P-MEC customer base. Machinery is playing a key role in the development of the industry as it supplies the necessary infrastructure to sustain India’s growth for the next 5 years," he added.

"After 10 years of CPhI India, we should reflect on what the industry has achieved. India has succeeded by seeking innovative ideas and setting new limits, reimagining what is possible and lowering costs. In the next 10 years, India could see even more startling and bold innovation, as our survey findings indicate Indian pharma is set to accelerate its development, and grow ahead of analyst projections.” Sign up for your free email newsletter

The complete findings of the UBM India survey will be published in CPhI Pharma Insights India Report later in the year, along with an international perspective and a deeper analysis of the market.